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Ringgit under pressure amid Middle East conflict escalation

Local currency falls to 4.7775/7830 against US dollar at 9am

10:38 AM MYT

 

KUALA LUMPUR – With no sign of de-escalation in the Middle East conflict, the ringgit came under pressure to open lower against the US dollar today.

At 9am, the local currency fell to 4.7775/7830 against the greenback from yesterday’s close of 4.7680/7710.

Bank Muamalat Malaysia Bhd chief economist and social finance head Mohd Afzanizam Abdul Rashid said the currency market would continue to witness a volatile currency landscape in the near term.

“The ringgit is likely to remain guarded today following yesterday’s performance. Concerns over the Hamas-Israel conflict are the main focal point, which will continue to affect market sentiments.

“On top of that, the 10-year US Treasury yield is reaching the 5.0% level, suggesting that the bond market is seeing an inflation premium, which is expected to drive the long-term yield higher, while the short-dated yield, such as the three-month yield, fell to 5.47%, leading to a steeper yield curve although it remains inverted,” he said.

The 10-year Treasury yield broke above 4.9% this week for the first time since 2007, further boosting the US dollar’s appearance.

Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell yesterday indicated that the central bank is “proceeding carefully” on monetary policy decisions following the soaring bond yields that have helped tighten financial conditions significantly.

The longer-term bond yields have been an important driving factor in this tightening, Powell said in remarks at the Economic Club of New York Luncheon.

At home, the ringgit eased against the British pound to 5.7927/7994 from 5.7712/7748 yesterday, depreciated versus the euro to 5.0522/0580 from 5.0274/0305, and was lower against the yen at 3.1880/1919 from 3.1821/1843 previously.

At the same time, it was traded lower against other Asian currencies compared to yesterday’s close.

The local unit slipped against the Singapore dollar to 3.4781/4823 from 3.4702/4726, dipped against the Thai baht to 13.0955/1167 from 13.0716/0849, declined vis-a-vis the Philippine peso to 8.42/8.44 from 8.38/8.39, and declined against the Indonesian rupiah from 301.4/301.8 to 302.0/302.5. – October 20, 2023

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